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Start
23.11.2025 20:00 UTC
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23.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Elche - Real Madrid
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Elche - Real Madrid November 23, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.85 / X 5.28 / 2 1.40
- 1X2 market: Elche 13.9% / X 18.1% / Real Madrid 68.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
13.9%
X
18.0%
2
68.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5
65.1%
Under 2.5
34.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Elche - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.40
market consensus · line only
X
5.30
market consensus · line only
1
6.87
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.11
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
2.95
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.03
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.41
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.62
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.70
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.18
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.64
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 7.07 14.1% | |
| X | 5.57 18.0% |
| 1.40 71.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.75 14.8% | 6.90 14.5% | 7.04 14.2% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.00 14.3% | |
| X | 5.20 19.2% | 5.60 17.9% | 5.47 18.3% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.30 18.9% |
| 1.39 71.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.24 44.6% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 2.85 35.1% | 2.98 33.6% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.97 33.7% |
Match center
Elche
D
L
L
D
L
07.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
1:1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
02.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Elche
1:3
Barselona
Barselona
25.10 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Elche
0:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
19.10 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
0:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
05.10 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
1:3
Alaves
Alaves
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
2
Points
Real Madrid
D
W
W
W
W
09.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:0
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
01.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:0
Valencia
Valencia
26.10 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Barselona
Barselona
19.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:0
Getafe
Getafe
04.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:1
Villarreal
Villarreal
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyElche - Real Madrid
Elche
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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