La Liga
La Liga Spain
30.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Alaves

Spain Futbol
Espanyol
Espanyol
1 : 2
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Alaves 30 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.09 / 2 4.54
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 48.3% / X 30.7% / Alaves 21.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 48.3%
X 30.8%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 36.8%
Under 2.5 63.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.56 market consensus · line only
X 3.09 market consensus · line only
1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.87 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.99 50.3%
Х 3.14 31.9%
П2 4.83 20.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.19 31.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.65 21.5% 4.77 21.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.31 43.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Espanyol
L L D L W
24.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:3 ValenciaValencia
16.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 GironaGirona
11.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
22.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Alaves
W L L D L
25.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
18.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 OviedoOviedo
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:3 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Alaves

Espanyol
2 matches total
Alaves
Espanyol: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Alaves: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Alaves 1:2 (02.11 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 14.09 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 4

Match history

02.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
1:2
Alaves
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
3:2
Alaves