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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.05.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction
15.05.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Barcelona

Spain Football
Espanyol
Espanyol
0 : 2
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Barcelona May 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.46 / X 5.71 / 2 1.38
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 13.0% / X 16.9% / Barcelona 70.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 13.0%
X 16.9%
2 70.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.05.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 market consensus · line only
X 5.71 market consensus · line only
1 7.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 3.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.46 13.4%
X 5.71 17.5%
1.38 72.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.11 90.1%
home_away 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 3.30 30.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 3.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.13 16.3%
1.15 87.0%
Match center
Espanyol
L L L D W
11.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:3 Leganes
04.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 Real BetisReal Betis
27.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 VillarrealVillarreal
22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 ValenciaValencia
18.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 GetafeGetafe
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Barcelona
W W W W W
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 Valladolid
22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 MallorcaMallorca
19.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:3 SeltaSelta
12.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 Leganes
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Barcelona

Espanyol
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history