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La Liga Spain

03.01.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

03.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Espanyol - Barcelona

Spain Football

Espanyol

0 : 2

Finished

Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Barcelona January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.80 / X 4.74 / 2 1.49
1X2 market: Espanyol 16.4% / X 20.0% / Barcelona 63.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 16.3%

X 20.0%

2 63.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 63.6%

Under 2.5 36.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Espanyol - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.49 market consensus · line only

X 4.75 market consensus · line only

1 5.81 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.15 market consensus · line only

12 1.19 market consensus · line only

1X 2.62 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.79 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.59 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.26 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.85 17.1%
X	4.91 20.4%
	1.52 65.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	5.60 17.9%	5.90 17.0%	6.20 16.1%	5.50 18.2%	5.75 17.4%	5.90 17.0%
X	4.70 21.3%	4.90 20.4%	4.93 20.3%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%	4.85 20.6%
	1.49 67.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.54 64.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.28 43.9%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.37 42.2%
yes	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.11 90.1%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.21 82.6%
home_draw	2.60 38.5%	2.67 37.5%	2.60 38.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.60 38.5%	2.67 37.5%