La Liga
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Espanyol — 40%
Model estimate: win Espanyol 40.5%, draw 29.4%, win Getafe 30.1%. Model favourite — Espanyol.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Espanyol: Win 2.49 Espanyol: Draw 2.89 Getafe Win: 3.58 Obschiy total golov bolshe 1.5: 1.67 Obschiy total golov menshe 1.5: 2.30 Individualnyy total golov Espanyol bolshe 0.5: 1.45 Individualnyy total golov Espanyol menshe 0.5: 2.86 Individualnyy total golov Getafe bolshe…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.47 40.5% | |
| X | 3.01 33.2% |
| 3.39 29.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 42.0% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.51 39.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 2.85 35.1% | 2.91 34.4% | 2.97 33.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.85 35.1% |
| 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.45 29.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.55 64.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.54 64.9% |
| yes | 2.35 42.6% | 2.31 43.3% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.32 43.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.55 64.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.50 66.7% |
| home_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% |
Espanyol
Getafe
Espanyol
Getafe
Espanyol
Mallorca
Oviedo
Elche
Atletiko Madrid
Selta
Getafe
Atletiko Madrid
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Villarreal
Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Getafe
La Liga
Getafe
La Liga
Getafe
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Espanyol - Getafe breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
