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La Liga
La Liga Spain
27.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction
27.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Levante

Spain Football
Stadium Steydzh Front Stadium
Espanyol
Espanyol
0 : 0
Finished
Levante
Levante
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Espanyol — 49%

1 · Espanyol48.7%
X · draw25.8%
2 · Levante25.5%

Model estimate: win Espanyol 48.7%, draw 25.8%, win Levante 25.5%. Model favourite — Espanyol.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Levante April 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Strongest: Espanyol - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.46 / 2 4.02
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 49.4% / X 27.2% / Levante 23.5%
  • Glicko: Espanyol 48.7% / X 25.8% / Levante 25.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 80.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%
1 49.5%
X 27.2%
2 23.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 49.9%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 27.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Stadium Steydzh Front Stadium (Barselona)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Espanyol 49%
💹 Market Espanyol 4936%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Espanyol - Levante

Espanyol: Win 1.90 Espanyol: Draw 3.40 Levante Win: 4.10 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.91 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Espanyol bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov Espanyol menshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov Levante bol…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 17
Statistics 26
Lineups 45
min Event Player Team
58' 58' Substitution 2 | C. Ngonge | assist/sub out: Tyrhys Dolan Espanyol
58' 58' Substitution 3 | Ramón Terrats | assist/sub out: Roberto Fernández Espanyol
60' 60' Substitution 2 | F. Cortes | assist/sub out: Iker Losada Levante
60' 60' Substitution 3 | F. Cortes | assist/sub out: Iker Losada Levante
69' 69' Substitution 5 | Pere Milla | assist/sub out: Antoniu Roca Espanyol
70' 70' Yellow Card | Pablo Martínez Levante
71' 71' Yellow Card | Edu Expósito Espanyol
72' 72' Substitution 6 | Pablo Martínez | assist/sub out: Carlos Álvarez Levante
Metric Espanyol Levante SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.57 1.02 final
Zablokirovannye udary 1 3 final
Shots off target 5 1 final
Shots on target 3 4 final
Udary vsego 9 8 final
Fouls soversheno 12 15 final
Red cards 1 0 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 3 final
Espanyol #2 M. Moreno, #4 Dela, #8 J. A. Olasagasti, #10 P. Martinez, #13 Mathew Ryan, #14 U. Raghouber, #17 V. Garcia, #19 Carlos Espí, #22 J. Toljan, #23 M. Sanchez
Levante #4 Urko González, #5 Fernando Calero, #6 L. Cabrera, #8 Edu Expósito, #11 Pere Milla, #13 M. Dmitrović, #14 Ramón Terrats, #16 C. Ngonge, #19 Kike García, #22 Carlos Romero, #23 O. El Hilali
Player Team Metric SStats
P. Cortes football.player.assists 0
P. Cortes Dribling popytki 4
P. Cortes Edinoborstva vyigrano 6
P. Cortes Fouls soversheno 1
P. Cortes Seyvy 0
P. Cortes football.player.minutes_played 60
P. Cortes Tochnost pasov % 1
P. Cortes Klyuchevye pasy 7
P. Cortes Reyting (staryy) 7.2
P. Cortes Bloki 3
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Espanyol 50.6% 48.7% market and model agree
Draw 27.2% 25.8% draw risk
Levante 22.2% 25.5%
xG - 1.51 : 1.02
Total 2.5 Over 80.9% - Under 19.1%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.7% / 25.8% / 25.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,465 / 1,457 Espanyol / Levante
RD 72 / 75 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.02 market consensus · no value · model 25.5%
X 3.46 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 48.7%
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 51.3%
12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 74.2%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · weak value +52.8% · model 80.9%
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 19.1%
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.89 52.9% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.67 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8%
4.20 23.8% 4.26 23.5% 3.70 27.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.25 23.5% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75 — 1.31 76.3%
Over 2.0 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.25 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3% —
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4% —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% —
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2% —
Under 2.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1% —
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3% —
Match center
Espanyol
Founded 1900
Levante
Founded 1909
Match center
Espanyol
L L D L L
23.04 18:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
11.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
04.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:0 Real BetisReal Betis
21.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 GetafeGetafe
15.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 MallorcaMallorca
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Levante
W W L W D
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:0 SevillaSevilla
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:0 GetafeGetafe
04.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
21.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 4:2 OviedoOviedo
16.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Levante

Espanyol
1 matches total
Levante
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Levante: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 11.01 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (11.01 15:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

11.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
1:1
Levante
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.