La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Mallorca

Spain Futbol
Espanyol
Espanyol
3 : 2
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Mallorca 15 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.15 / 2 3.49
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 42.4% / X 30.3% / Mallorca 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 42.4%
X 30.3%
2 27.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 38.9%
Under 2.5 61.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.50 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.28 43.9%
Х 3.21 31.2%
П2 3.61 27.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.22 45.1% 2.23 44.8% 2.34 42.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.26 30.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
П2 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.56 28.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Espanyol
W D W W L
31.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
17.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
24.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Mallorca
L D L D L
30.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 SeltaSelta
16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 GetafeGetafe
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Mallorca

Espanyol
1 matches total
Mallorca
Espanyol: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mallorca: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Espanyol 2:1 (05.10 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 05.10 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
2:1
Mallorca