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La Liga
La Liga Spain
09.03.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
09.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Oviedo

Spain Football
Espanyol
Espanyol
1 : 1
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Oviedo March 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.45 / 2 4.47
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 51.2% / X 27.6% / Oviedo 21.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 51.1%
X 27.6%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 44.9%
Under 2.5 55.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.48 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.96 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.27 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.88 53.2%
X 3.54 28.3%
4.64 21.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.55 28.2% 3.63 27.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.51 22.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Espanyol
D L D L L
01.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 ElcheElche
21.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
14.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 SeltaSelta
09.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 VillarrealVillarreal
30.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 AlavesAlaves
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.8 Conceded
2 Points
Oviedo
L L D L W
04.03 18:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
28.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
21.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 3:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
31.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:0 GironaGirona
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Oviedo

Espanyol
1 matches total
Oviedo
Espanyol: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Oviedo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Espanyol 2:0 (17.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 17.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
2:0
Oviedo