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La Liga Spain

07.12.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

07.12.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football

Espanyol

1 : 0

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano December 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.18 / 2 3.09
1X2 market: Espanyol 39.3% / X 29.9% / Rayo Vallecano 30.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 39.2%

X 30.0%

2 30.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 42.3%

Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 07.12.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.10 market consensus · line only

X 3.18 market consensus · line only

1 2.43 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.58 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.38 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.99 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.72 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.85 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.50 40.0%
X	3.21 31.2%
	3.17 31.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.40 41.7%	2.44 41.0%	2.49 40.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.47 40.5%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.15 31.8%
	3.05 32.8%	3.15 31.8%	3.21 31.2%	3.10 32.3%	2.90 34.5%	3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.84 54.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.92 52.1%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.93 51.8%	1.88 53.2%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.55 64.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.39 71.9%
home_draw	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Espanyol

W W L L W

30.11 17:30 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:0 Selta

24.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:1 Sevilla

08.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 0:2 Villarreal

02.11 15:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:2 Alaves

25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:0 Elche

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Rayo Vallecano

D D D L W

01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Valencia

23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Oviedo

09.11 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Real Madrid

01.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:4 Villarreal

26.10 20:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Alaves

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Rayo Vallecano

Espanyol

1 matches total

Rayo Vallecano

Espanyol: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Espanyol 4:0 (04.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 04.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 4

Match history

04.04 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Espanyol

4:0

Rayo Vallecano