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La Liga Spain

38 round 23.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

23.05.2026 19:00 UTC 38 round

Finished

La Liga

Espanyol - Real Sociedad

Spain Football

Espanyol

1 : 1

Finished

Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Real Sociedad May 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.58 / 2 3.32
1X2 market: Espanyol 44.9% / X 26.6% / Real Sociedad 28.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 44.8%

X 26.5%

2 28.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 53.8%

Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Kornelya-El Prat (Barselona, Spain), 28 012 zriteley (69% pri vmestimosti 40 423)

Referee Khose Munuera Montero

Start 23.05.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

Espanyol - Real Sociedad

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Espanol - Real Sosedad, 23 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 38 round. Espanol - Real Sosedad, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 1.18 Fonbet · line only

1 8.00 Fonbet · line only

2 3.32 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 4.60 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.15 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.15 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.03 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.05 48.8%	2.18 45.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.18 45.9%	2.10 47.6%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.66 27.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%
	3.20 31.3%	3.54 28.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.12 47.2%	2.20 45.5%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.29 77.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.36 73.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 2.5	1.73 57.8%	—
Over 3.5	2.80 35.7%	—
Over 4.5	5.25 19.1%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Under 2.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.42 70.4%	—
Under 4.5	1.15 87.0%	—

Match center

Espanyol

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Real Sociedad

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Khaver Puado Travmirovannye Alvaro Odriosola Yon Gorrotksategi Diskvalifitsirovannye Pol Losano CHAMP

Match center

Espanyol

W W L L D

17.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:1 Osasuna

13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:0 Athletic Club

09.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:2 Sevilla

03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 0:2 Real Madrid

27.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 0:0 Levante

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Real Sociedad

L D D L D

17.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:4 Valencia

14.05 18:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Girona

09.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:2 Real Betis

04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:1 Sevilla

26.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:3 Rayo Vallecano

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.2 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Real Sociedad

Espanyol

1 matches total

Real Sociedad

Espanyol: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 24.08 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (24.08 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

24.08 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Espanyol

2:2

Real Sociedad

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Espanyol

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Real Sociedad

37 Games 37

12 Wins 11

9 Draws 12

16 Losses 14

42 Scored 58

54 Conceded 60

45 Points 45

87.29 Attacks 94.47

42.06 Dangerous attacks 44.13

0 Big chances 0

11.97 Shots on goal 11.73

4.11 Shots on target 4.57

daleniya 0.11 Goly Orri Ouskarsson Serkhio Gomes 0:1 28' Roberto Fernandes Pere Milya 1 65' Nakazaniya Serkhio Gomes 9' Yankhel Errera 23' Unay Marrero Larranyaga 64' Leandro Kabrera 87' VAR Tayris Dolan 54'

Espanol Real Sosedad 37 Games 37 12 Wins 11 9 Draws 12 16 Losses 14 42 Scored 58 54 Conceded 60 45 Points 45 87.29 Attacks 94.47 42.06 Dangerous attacks 44.13 0 Big chances 0 11.97 Shots on goal 11.73 4.11 Udary v stvor 4.57 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.73 Uglovye 5.57 1.92 Offsaydy 2.38 13.76 Foly 14.03 42.3 % vladeniya myachom 51.27 2.35 Warnings 2.27 0.14 Sendoffs 0.11 Goly Orri Ouskarsson Serkhio Gomes 0:1 28' Roberto Fernandes Pere Milya 1 65' Nakazaniya Serkhio Gomes 9' Yankhel Errera 23' Unay Marrero Larranyaga 64' Leandro Kabrera 87' VAR Tayris Dolan 54'