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La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Sevilla

Spain Football
Espanyol
Espanyol
0 : 2
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Sevilla October 25, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.09 / X 3.20 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 31.5% / X 30.4% / Sevilla 38.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 31.5%
X 30.4%
2 38.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 3.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.09 32.4%
X 3.20 31.3%
2.55 39.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.57 63.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.15 46.5%
1.76 56.8%
Match center
Espanyol
L W L L L
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
29.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 Real BetisReal Betis
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Sevilla
L W D W L
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:5 BarselonaBarselona
06.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Real BetisReal Betis
29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 Valladolid
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 AlavesAlaves
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Sevilla

Espanyol
0 matches total
Sevilla
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history