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La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.11.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction
24.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Sevilla

Spain Football
Espanyol
Espanyol
2 : 1
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Sevilla November 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.39 / 2 3.93
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 47.8% / X 28.0% / Sevilla 24.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 47.8%
X 28.0%
2 24.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 54.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.99 50.3%
X 3.50 28.6%
4.14 24.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9% 3.46 28.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
3.80 26.3% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Espanyol
L L W W L
08.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
02.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 AlavesAlaves
25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 ElcheElche
17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 OviedoOviedo
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 Real BetisReal Betis
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Sevilla
W L L L W
08.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
01.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
24.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
18.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:3 MallorcaMallorca
05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 4:1 BarselonaBarselona
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Sevilla

Espanyol
1 matches total
Sevilla
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sevilla: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sevilla 0:2 (25.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 25.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
0:2
Sevilla