Match center
Start
26.09.2024 17:00 UTC
26.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Espanyol - Villarreal
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Espanyol - Villarreal 26 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.
Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.21 / X 3.50 / 2 2.32
- 1X2 market: Espanyol 30.3% / X 27.8% / Villarreal 41.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.8%
1
30.3%
X
27.8%
2
41.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Espanyol - Villarreal
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.32
market consensus · line only
X
3.50
market consensus · line only
1
3.21
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.40
market consensus · line only
12
1.33
market consensus · line only
1X
1.68
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.81
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.21 31.2% |
| Х | 3.50 28.6% |
| П2 | 2.32 43.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.40 71.4% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.68 59.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.81 55.3% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.33 42.9% |
| П2 | 1.65 60.6% |
Match center
Espanyol
L
W
21.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
1:4
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
14.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
3:2
Alaves
Alaves
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
3
Points
Villarreal
L
W
22.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
1:5
Barselona
Barselona
14.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
3.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Villarreal
Espanyol
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals