La Liga
La Liga Spain
08.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Villarreal

Spain Futbol
Espanyol
Espanyol
0 : 2
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Villarreal 8 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.77 / X 3.44 / 2 2.51
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 34.3% / X 27.7% / Villarreal 38.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 34.4%
X 27.7%
2 37.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 52.3%
Under 2.5 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 08.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.52 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.55 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.82 35.5%
Х 3.49 28.7%
П2 2.59 38.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.76 36.2% 2.68 37.3% 2.87 34.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.58 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
П2 2.48 40.3% 2.56 39.1% 2.58 38.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Espanyol
L W W L D
02.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 AlavesAlaves
25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 ЭльчеЭльче
17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 OviedoOviedo
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:0 GironaGirona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Villarreal
W W D L W
01.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 ValenciaValencia
18.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Villarreal

Espanyol
2 matches total
Villarreal
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Villarreal: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Villarreal 0:1 (27.04 14:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 26.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
0:1
Villarreal
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
1:2
Villarreal