La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Alaves

Spain Futbol
Getafe
Getafe
1 : 1
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Alaves 24 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Getafe.

Line favourite market consensus: Getafe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 2.76 / 2 3.82
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 40.6% / X 34.5% / Alaves 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 74.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 40.5%
X 34.5%
2 24.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 25.1%
Under 2.5 74.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.86 market consensus · line only
X 2.77 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.45 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.20 45.5%
Х 2.92 34.3%
П2 4.33 23.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3%
Х 2.72 36.8% 2.74 36.5% 2.86 35.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8%
П2 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.89 25.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.75 36.4% 2.96 33.8% 2.72 36.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.72 36.8% 2.99 33.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.40 71.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Getafe
L W L W W
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 OviedoOviedo
29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:3 ValenciaValencia
25.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 SevillaSevilla
17.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 SeltaSelta
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Alaves
L W D L W
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:2 SevillaSevilla
13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
30.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
22.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Alaves

Getafe
1 matches total
Alaves
Getafe: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Alaves: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Getafe 2:0 (28.09 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 28.09 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe
2:0
Alaves