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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Getafe
Getafe
0 : 1
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Atletico Madrid November 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.08 / X 3.43 / 2 1.78
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 18.7% / X 27.8% / Atletico Madrid 53.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 18.7%
X 27.8%
2 53.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 37.7%
Under 2.5 62.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 5.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 2.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.53 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.16 19.4%
X 3.54 28.3%
1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.10 19.6% 5.40 18.5% 4.96 20.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.34 42.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.39 41.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Getafe
L W W L L
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
31.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 GironaGirona
25.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
03.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 OsasunaOsasuna
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Atletico Madrid
W W W W D
08.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:1 LevanteLevante
01.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:0 SevillaSevilla
27.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 2:0 Real BetisReal Betis
18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:1 SeltaSelta
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Atletico Madrid

Getafe
0 matches total
Atletico Madrid
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history