La Liga Spain

25.04.2026 14:15 UTC Match prediction

25.04.2026 14:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Getafe - Barcelona

Spain Futbol

Stadium Колисеум Альфонсо Перес

Getafe

0 : 2

Finished

Barcelona

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Barcelona — 61%

1 · Getafe16.0%

market17%

X · draw22.5%

market23%

2 · Barcelona ✓ Прогноз61.5%

market60%

Model estimate: win Getafe 16.0%, draw 22.5%, win Barcelona 61.5%. Model favourite — Barcelona.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Barcelona 25 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Strongest: Barcelona - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.50 / X 4.13 / 2 1.58
1X2 market: Getafe 17.3% / X 22.9% / Barcelona 59.9%
Glicko: Getafe 16.0% / X 22.5% / Barcelona 61.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 78.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%

1 17.2%

X 22.9%

2 ✓ Прогноз 59.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%

Over 2.5 53.3%

Under 2.5 46.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П2

Main outcome П2

Agreement 5/5

Confidence 66.2%

Total ТБ 2.5

Score 1:2

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center

Start 25.04.2026 14:15 UTC

Stadium Колисеум Альфонсо Перес (Хетафе)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Barcelona 61%

💹 Market Barcelona 5988%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Getafe - Barcelona

Getafe: Победа 6.00 Getafe: Ничья 4.00 Barcelona Победа: 1.55 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.80 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.00 Индивидуальный тотал голов Getafe больше 0.5: 1.67 Индивидуальный тотал голов Getafe меньше 0.5: 2.10 Индивидуальный тотал голов Barcelona больше 1…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:2

Events 16

Statistics 24

Lineups 41

min Event Player Team

20' 20' Yellow Card | Jules Koundé C. Tarrega Barcelona

39' 39' Yellow Card | Pablo Gavi Barcelona

45' 45' Normal Goal | Fermín López | assist/sub out: Pedri Barcelona

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Sebastián Boselli | assist/sub out: Kiko Femenía Getafe

46' 46' Substitution 2 | Veljko Birmančević | assist/sub out: Luis Vázquez Getafe

60' 60' Substitution 1 | Pablo Gavi | assist/sub out: Frenkie de Jong Barcelona

60' 60' Substitution 2 | Jules Koundé | assist/sub out: Ronald Araújo C. Tarrega Barcelona

60' 60' Substitution 3 | Roony Bardghji | assist/sub out: Marcus Rashford Barcelona

Metric Getafe Barcelona SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 0.63 1.88 final

Заблокированные удары 2 3 final

Удары мимо 2 6 final

Удары в створ 0 4 final

Удары всего 4 13 final

Фолы совершено 15 8 final

Желтые карточки 2 2 final

Офсайды 7 4 final

Getafe #2 João Cancelo, #5 P. Cubarsi, #6 Gavi, #8 Pedri, #9 R. Lewandowski, #13 J. Garcia, #16 Fermín, #18 G. Martin, #19 R. Bardghji, #20 D. Olmo, #23 J. Kounde

Barcelona #2 D. Dakonam, #5 L. Milla, #6 M. Martin, #8 M. Arambarri, #10 M. Satriano, #13 D. Soria, #15 S. Boselli, #20 V. Birmancevic, #21 J. Iglesias, #22 D. Duarte, #26 Davinchi

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Abqar Barcelona football.player.assists 0

A. Abqar Barcelona Дриблинг попытки 2

A. Abqar Barcelona Единоборства всего 2

A. Abqar Barcelona Единоборства выиграно 3

A. Abqar Barcelona Сейвы 0

A. Abqar Barcelona football.player.minutes_played 14

A. Abqar Barcelona Ключевые пасы 5

A. Abqar Barcelona Рейтинг (старый) 6.9

A. Abqar Barcelona Блоки 2

A. Abqar Barcelona Перехваты 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Getafe 16.8% 16.0%

Draw 23.2% 22.5% draw risk

Barcelona 60.0% 61.5% market and model agree

xG - 0.79 : 1.81

Total 2.5 Over 78.5% - Under 21.5%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 16.0% / 22.5% / 61.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,528 / 1,785 Getafe / Barcelona

RD 72 / 83 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 61.5%

X 4.13 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 5.50 market consensus · no value · model 16.0%

Double chance

X2 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 84.0%

12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 77.5%

1X 2.35 market consensus · no value · model 38.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.93 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · value +39.8% · model 78.5%

Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 21.5%

Both teams to score

No 1.87 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	5.90 17.0%	4.92 20.3%	5.00 20.0%	6.00 16.7%	5.70 17.5%	6.00 16.7%
Х	4.00 25.0%	4.42 22.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.15 24.1%	4.20 23.8%
П2	1.54 64.9%	1.71 58.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.91 52.4%	1.66 60.2%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.64 61.0%	1.98 50.5%
yes	1.83 54.6%	2.12 47.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.75 57.1%	2.12 47.2%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.12 89.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.10 90.9%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	2.40 41.7%	2.27 44.1%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 0.75	—	1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25	—	1.13 88.5%
ТБ 1.5	1.25 80.0%	1.23 81.3%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.29 77.5%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.37 73.0%
ТБ 2.25	—	1.57 63.7%
ТБ 2.5	1.80 55.6%	—
ТБ 3.5	3.00 33.3%	—
ТБ 4.5	5.50 18.2%	—
ТМ 0.5	9.50 10.5%	—
ТМ 1.5	3.75 26.7%	—
ТМ 2.5	2.00 50.0%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.38 72.5%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.14 87.7%	—

Match center

Getafe

Founded 1983

Barcelona

Founded 1899

Match center

Getafe

W L W W L

22.04 18:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 1:0 Real Sociedad

13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:1 Леванте

05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:0 Athletic Club

21.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:1 Espanyol

14.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:1 Atletiko Madrid

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.6 Conceded

9 Points

Barcelona

W W W W W

22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:0 Selta

11.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 4:1 Espanyol

04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:1 Atletiko Madrid

22.03 13:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:0 Rayo Vallecano

15.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 5:2 Sevilla

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Barcelona

Getafe

2 matches total

Barcelona

Getafe: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Barcelona: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Barselona 0:3 (21.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 21.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Getafe

0:3

Barselona

25.09 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Getafe

0:1

Barselona

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.