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La Liga
La Liga Spain
28.11.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction
28.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Elche

Spain Football
Getafe
Getafe
1 : 0
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Elche November 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Getafe.

Line favourite market consensus: Getafe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 2.89 / 2 3.87
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 42.4% / X 33.0% / Elche 24.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 42.4%
X 33.0%
2 24.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 33.3%
Under 2.5 66.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.88 market consensus · line only
X 2.89 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.71 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.29 43.7%
X 2.98 33.6%
3.93 25.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.22 45.1% 2.27 44.1% 2.32 43.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1%
X 2.88 34.7% 2.89 34.6% 2.99 33.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.82 35.5%
3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.01 24.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Getafe
L L W W L
23.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
31.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 GironaGirona
25.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Elche
D D L L D
23.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
07.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
02.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Elche

Getafe
0 matches total
Elche
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history