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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.04.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction
23.04.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Real Madrid

Spain Football
Getafe
Getafe
0 : 1
Finished
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Real Madrid April 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.96 / X 3.87 / 2 1.65
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 16.3% / X 25.0% / Real Madrid 58.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 16.3%
X 25.0%
2 58.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.04.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 market consensus · line only
X 3.87 market consensus · line only
1 5.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.16 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 2.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.96 16.8%
X 3.87 25.8%
1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.16 86.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.35 42.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 2.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.46 22.4%
1.24 80.7%
Match center
Getafe
L L W D D
18.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
12.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:3 Las PalmasLas Palmas
06.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 4:0 Valladolid
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 ValenciaValencia
20.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Real Madrid
W W L L W
20.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 AlavesAlaves
05.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:2 ValenciaValencia
26.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 0:4 BarselonaBarselona
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 SeltaSelta
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Real Madrid

Getafe
0 matches total
Real Madrid
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history