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La Liga Spain

19.10.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction

19.10.2025 19:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Getafe - Real Madrid

Spain Football

Getafe

0 : 1

Finished

Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Real Madrid October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.29 / X 4.47 / 2 1.45
1X2 market: Getafe 13.1% / X 21.3% / Real Madrid 65.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 13.1%

X 21.3%

2 65.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 50.1%

Under 2.5 49.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 19.10.2025 19:00 UTC

Match center

Getafe - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.45 market consensus · line only

X 4.47 market consensus · line only

1 7.30 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.11 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 2.75 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.78 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	7.54 13.3%
X	4.50 22.2%
	1.47 68.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	7.00 14.3%	7.10 14.1%	7.16 14.0%	6.50 15.4%	7.00 14.3%	7.40 13.5%
X	4.40 22.7%	4.60 21.7%	4.60 21.7%	4.40 22.7%	4.50 22.2%	4.45 22.5%
	1.45 69.0%	1.46 68.5%	1.48 67.6%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.50 66.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.70 58.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%
yes	2.05 48.8%	2.14 46.7%	2.14 46.7%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.07 48.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.03 49.3%	2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.12 89.3%	1.11 90.1%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	2.70 37.0%	2.74 36.5%	2.70 37.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.72 36.8%	2.85 35.1%

Match center

Getafe

L D D L W

03.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 1:2 Osasuna

27.09 12:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 1:1 Levante

24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 1:1 Alaves

21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:3 Barselona

13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:0 Oviedo

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Real Madrid

W L W W W

04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 3:1 Villarreal

27.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:5 Atletiko Madrid

23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:1 Levante

20.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Espanyol

13.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Real Sociedad

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Real Madrid

Getafe

1 matches total

Real Madrid

Getafe: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Madrid: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 0:1 (23.04 19:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 23.04 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.04 19:30 UTC

La Liga

Getafe

0:1

Real Madrid