La Liga
La Liga Spain
09.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol
Getafe
Getafe
1 : 2
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Real Sociedad 9 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.51 / X 2.86 / 2 2.40
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 27.1% / X 33.2% / Real Sociedad 39.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 27.1%
X 33.3%
2 39.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 30.8%
Under 2.5 69.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · line only
X 2.87 market consensus · line only
1 3.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.06 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.59 27.9%
Х 2.91 34.4%
П2 2.40 41.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.62 27.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
Х 2.85 35.1% 2.91 34.4% 2.96 33.8% 2.90 34.5% 2.87 34.8% 2.80 35.7%
П2 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.34 42.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Getafe
D L L L W
02.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:4 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
13.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
06.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
28.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:0 ЭльчеЭльче
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Real Sociedad
D D L L L
04.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
20.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:2 GironaGirona
06.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 AlavesAlaves
30.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:3 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Real Sociedad

Getafe
1 matches total
Real Sociedad
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (01.09 17:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.09 17:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe
0:0
Real Sociedad