La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.02.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Villarreal

Spain Futbol
Getafe
Getafe
2 : 1
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Villarreal 14 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.50 / X 3.01 / 2 2.30
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 27.2% / X 31.5% / Villarreal 41.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 27.1%
X 31.6%
2 41.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 36.6%
Under 2.5 63.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.02.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.30 market consensus · line only
X 3.02 market consensus · line only
1 3.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.62 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.67 27.3%
Х 3.09 32.4%
П2 2.32 43.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.45 29.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
Х 2.96 33.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 2.25 44.4% 2.26 44.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.04 49.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Getafe
W D D L L
08.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 AlavesAlaves
01.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:0 SeltaSelta
26.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 GironaGirona
18.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 ValenciaValencia
09.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Villarreal
W D L L W
09.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
31.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
24.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
17.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 AlavesAlaves
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Villarreal

Getafe
2 matches total
Villarreal
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Villarreal: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Villarreal 0:2 (06.12 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 06.12 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe
0:2
Villarreal
20.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe
1:1
Villarreal