La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.03.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Athletic Club

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
3 : 0
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Athletic Club 14 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.86 / X 3.25 / 2 2.61
  • 1X2 market: Girona 33.6% / X 29.6% / Athletic Club 36.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 33.6%
X 29.6%
2 36.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.03.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.62 market consensus · line only
X 3.25 market consensus · line only
1 2.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.90 34.5%
Х 3.25 30.8%
П2 2.66 37.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.31 30.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.26 30.7% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
П2 2.56 39.1% 2.69 37.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.66 37.6% 2.66 37.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.04 49.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Girona
D L D W D
07.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
01.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 SeltaSelta
23.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:2 AlavesAlaves
16.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 BarselonaBarselona
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Athletic Club
L D W W W
07.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 BarselonaBarselona
28.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
20.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 ЭльчеЭльче
15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 OviedoOviedo
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 4:2 ЛевантеЛеванте
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Athletic Club

Girona
2 matches total
Athletic Club
Girona: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Athletic Club: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Girona 2:1 (06.10 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 06.10 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (23.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
1:1
Athletic Club
06.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
2:1
Athletic Club