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La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.05.2025 12:00 UTC Match prediction
25.05.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
0 : 4
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Atletico Madrid May 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.32 / X 3.56 / 2 2.24
  • 1X2 market: Girona 29.3% / X 27.3% / Atletico Madrid 43.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 29.3%
X 27.3%
2 43.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 58.2%
Under 2.5 41.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.05.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 3.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.32 30.1%
X 3.56 28.1%
2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.71 58.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 2.5 2.31 43.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.40 41.7%
1.62 61.7%
Match center
Girona
L W L W D
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 Valladolid
10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 VillarrealVillarreal
05.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 MallorcaMallorca
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Leganes
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Atletico Madrid
W L W D W
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:1 Real BetisReal Betis
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:0 AlavesAlaves
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Atletico Madrid

Girona
0 matches total
Atletico Madrid
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history