La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Barcelona

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
1 : 4
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Barcelona 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.06 / X 4.16 / 2 1.84
  • 1X2 market: Girona 23.9% / X 23.3% / Barcelona 52.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 23.9%
X 23.3%
2 52.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Match center

Girona - Barcelona

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.84 market consensus · line only
X 4.16 market consensus · line only
1 4.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.06 24.6%
Х 4.16 24.0%
П2 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.06 48.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 3.5 1.80 55.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.11 32.2%
П2 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Girona
W
01.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:0 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Barcelona

Girona
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history