La Liga
La Liga Spain
16.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Barcelona

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
2 : 1
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Barcelona 16 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.61 / X 5.55 / 2 1.35
  • 1X2 market: Girona 12.6% / X 17.2% / Barcelona 70.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 12.5%
X 17.1%
2 70.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 70.3%
Under 2.5 29.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.35 market consensus · line only
X 5.57 market consensus · line only
1 7.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 3.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 8.37 12.0%
Х 5.85 17.1%
П2 1.34 74.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 8.00 12.5% 7.50 13.3% 7.40 13.5% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.50 11.8%
Х 5.10 19.6% 5.90 17.0% 5.52 18.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.60 17.9%
П2 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.41 41.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 3.10 32.3% 3.06 32.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
Match center
Girona
D L D W W
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SevillaSevilla
31.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 OviedoOviedo
26.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 GetafeGetafe
16.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
10.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Barcelona
W W W L W
07.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
31.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:1 ЭльчеЭльче
25.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 OviedoOviedo
18.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Barcelona

Girona
2 matches total
Barcelona
Girona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 1:4 (15.09 14:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 15.09 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 2

Match history

18.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona
1:2
Barselona
15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona
1:4
Barselona