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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.05.2026 19:00 UTC 38 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Elche

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
1 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Elche May 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.78 / 2 4.18
  • 1X2 market: Girona 52.0% / X 25.2% / Elche 22.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 52.0%
X 25.2%
2 22.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Munisipal de Montilivi (Zhirona, Spain), 14 018 zriteley (97% pri vmestimosti 14 500)
Referee Alekhandro Ernandes (Santa-Krus-de-Tenerife)
Start 23.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Elche

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Zhirona - Elche, 23 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 38 round. Zhirona - Elche, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1 6.30 Fonbet · line only
2 4.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%
4.10 24.4% 4.31 23.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.0 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.25 1.57 63.7%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.76 56.8%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 3.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Girona

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Elche

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Porto Khuan Karlos Vladislav Vanat Travmirovannye Yago Santyago
Match center
Girona
L D D L L
17.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
14.05 18:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
01.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
25.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 ValenciaValencia
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
2 Points
Elche
W L D L W
17.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:0 GetafeGetafe
12.05 18:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:2 Real BetisReal Betis
09.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 AlavesAlaves
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 SeltaSelta
26.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:1 OviedoOviedo
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Elche

Girona
1 matches total
Elche
Girona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Elche: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Elche 0:3 (07.12 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 07.12 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
0:3
Elche
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Girona
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Elche
Girona Team comparison Elche
37 Games 37
9 Wins 10
13 Draws 12
15 Losses 15
38 Scored 48
54 Conceded 56
40 Points 42
94.61 Attacks 113.54
49.03 Dangerous attacks 48.59
0 Big chances 0
10.97 Shots on goal 10.81
4 Shots on target 3.89
daleniya 0.19 Goly Alvaro Rodriges Pedro Bigas 0:1 39' Arnau Martines 1 48' Nakazaniya Abubakar Sangare 7' Brayan Khil 45+2' David Affengruber 47' Vitor Reys 60' Klaudio Echeverri 83' Kherman Valera 85' Toma Lemar 85' Mark Aguado 85'

Zhirona Elche 37 Games 37 9 Wins 10 13 Draws 12 15 Losses 15 38 Scored 48 54 Conceded 56 40 Points 42 94.61 Attacks 113.54 49.03 Dangerous attacks 48.59 0 Big chances 0 10.97 Shots on goal 10.81 4 Udary v stvor 3.89 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.27 Uglovye 3.89 1.97 Offsaydy 1.59 10.43 Foly 13.08 50.57 % vladeniya myachom 58.05 2 Warnings 2 0.19 Sendoffs 0.19 Goly Alvaro Rodriges Pedro Bigas 0:1 39' Arnau Martines 1 48' Nakazaniya Abubakar Sangare 7' Brayan Khil 45+2' David Affengruber 47' Vitor Reys 60' Klaudio Echeverri 83' Kherman Valera 85' Toma Lemar 85' Mark Aguado 85'