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La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Mallorca

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
1 : 0
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Mallorca May 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.36 / 2 4.26
  • 1X2 market: Girona 48.3% / X 28.9% / Mallorca 22.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 48.3%
X 28.9%
2 22.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Under 2.5 55.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.26 market consensus · line only
X 3.36 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
X 3.36 29.8%
4.26 23.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.90 52.6%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.16 46.3%
Under 2.5 1.75 57.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.42 70.4%
3.02 33.1%
Match center
Girona
D L L L L
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Leganes
21.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:3 Real BetisReal Betis
13.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 OsasunaOsasuna
05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 AlavesAlaves
26.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points
Mallorca
L D W L D
22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:1 BarselonaBarselona
19.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 Leganes
12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 SeltaSelta
28.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Mallorca

Girona
0 matches total
Mallorca
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history