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La Liga Spain

34 round 01.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

01.05.2026 19:00 UTC 34 round

Finished

La Liga

Girona - Mallorca

Spain Football

Stadium Munisipal de Montilivi

Girona

0 : 1

Finished

Mallorca

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Girona — 44%

1 · Girona44.0%

X · draw27.1%

2 · Mallorca29.0%

Model estimate: win Girona 44.0%, draw 27.1%, win Mallorca 29.0%. Model favourite — Girona.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Mallorca May 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Strongest: Girona - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.43 / 2 3.72
1X2 market: Girona 46.7% / X 27.7% / Mallorca 25.6%
Glicko: Girona 44.0% / X 27.1% / Mallorca 29.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 82.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 46.7%

X 27.8%

2 25.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 50.3%

Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 45.6%

Total Over 2.5

Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Munisipal de Montilivi (Zhirona, Spain), 13 386 zriteley (92% pri vmestimosti 14 500)

Referee Fransisko Khose Ernandes Maeso

Start 01.05.2026 19:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Girona 44%

💹 Market Girona 4666%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Girona - Mallorca

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Zhirona - Malorka, 1 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 34 round. Zhirona - Malorka, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:1

Events 15

Statistics 24

Lineups 43

min Event Player Team

43' 43' Normal Goal | Samú Costa | assist/sub out: J. Mojica Samu Costa Mallorca

45+1' 45+1' Yellow Card | V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov Girona

46' 46' Substitution 1 | J. Kalumba | assist/sub out: Jan Virgili J. Kalumba Mallorca

58' 58' Yellow Card | Pablo Maffeo P. Maffeo Mallorca

65' 65' Yellow Card | Vitor Nunes Vitor Reis Girona

66' 66' Substitution 2 | Pablo Torre | assist/sub out: Zito Luvumbo P. Torre Mallorca

70' 70' Substitution 1 | Joel Roca | assist/sub out: Bryan Gil J. Roca Girona

70' 70' Substitution 2 | C. Echeverri | assist/sub out: C. Stuani C. Echeverri Girona

Metric Girona Mallorca SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.72 1.09 final

Zablokirovannye udary 2 1 final

Shots off target 8 3 final

Shots on target 4 5 final

Udary vsego 14 9 final

Fouls soversheno 8 25 final

Zheltye kartochki 4 2 final

Offsides 1 0 final

Girona #3 J. Roca, #13 P. Gazzaniga, #14 C. Echeverri, #17 D. Blind, #20 A. Witsel, #8 F. Beltran, #12 Vitor Reis, #18 A. Ounahi, #15 V. Tsygankov, #16 A. Frances, #4 A. Martinez

Mallorca #1 L. Roman, #8 M. Morlanes, #20 P. Torre, #22 J. Mojica, #30 J. Kalumba, #5 Omar Mascarell, #7 V. Muriqi, #10 S. Darder, #12 Samu Costa, #24 M. Valjent, #23 P. Maffeo

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Frances Girona Dribling popytki 9

A. Frances Girona Dribling uspeshno 2

A. Frances Girona Edinoborstva vsego 3

A. Frances Girona Edinoborstva vyigrano 13

A. Frances Girona Fouls soversheno 4

A. Frances Girona Fouls na igroke 2

A. Frances Girona Seyvy 0

A. Frances Girona football.player.minutes_played 93

A. Frances Girona Klyuchevye pasy 70

A. Frances Girona Reyting (staryy) 7.2

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Girona 46.9% 44.0% market and model agree

Draw 27.5% 27.1% draw risk

Mallorca 25.6% 29.0%

xG - 1.37 : 1.06

Total 2.5 Over 82.2% - Under 17.8%

Model check - - Difference 0.03

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 44.0% / 27.1% / 29.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,494 / 1,477 Girona / Mallorca

RD 73 / 72 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.72 market consensus · no value · model 29.0%

X 3.43 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.04 market consensus · no value · model 44.0%

Double chance

X2 1.77 market consensus · no value · model 56.0%

12 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 73.0%

1X 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 71.0%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.54 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.13 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · weak value +56.1% · model 82.2%

Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 17.8%

Both teams to score

No 2.07 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.02 49.5%	2.11 47.4%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%
X	3.50 28.6%	3.52 28.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
	3.40 29.4%	3.88 25.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%	3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet	William Hill
no	2.10 47.6%	2.04 49.0%	2.10 47.6%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	2.08 48.1%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.68 59.5%	1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
draw_away	1.73 57.8%	1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25	—	1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%
Over 1.75	—	1.34 74.6%
Over 2.0	—	1.43 69.9%
Over 2.25	—	1.74 57.5%
Over 2.5	1.85 54.1%	—
Over 3.5	3.10 32.3%	—
Over 4.5	6.00 16.7%	—
Under 0.5	9.50 10.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.55 28.2%	—
Under 2.5	1.93 51.8%	—
Under 3.5	1.35 74.1%	—
Under 4.5	1.12 89.3%	—

Match center

Girona

Founded 1930

Mallorca

Founded 1916

Match center

Girona

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Mallorca

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Porto Mark-Andre Khuan Karlos Vladislav Vanat Abel Ruis Donni Antonio Railo Mateo Dzhozef Marash Kumbula Lukas Bergstrem Diskvalifitsirovannye Aleks Moreno CHAMP

Girona Founded: 1930

Mallorca Founded: 1916

Match center

Girona

L L D W L

25.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:2 Valencia

21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Girona 2:3 Real Betis

10.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:1 Real Madrid

06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:0 Villarreal

21.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Girona 0:1 Osasuna

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

4 Points

Mallorca

L D W W L

25.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Alaves

21.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:1 Valencia

12.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 3:0 Rayo Vallecano

04.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 2:1 Real Madrid

21.03 13:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Elche

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Mallorca

Girona

2 matches total

Mallorca

Girona: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Mallorca: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Girona 2:1 (04.01 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 04.01 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

04.01 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Girona

2:1

Mallorca

05.05 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Girona

1:0

Mallorca

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Girona

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Mallorca

33 Games 33

9 Wins 9

11 Draws 8

13 Losses 16

36 Scored 41

50 Conceded 51

38 Points 35

92.09 Attacks 89.27

45.66 Dangerous attacks 38.18

0 Big chances 0

10 Shots on goal 9.94

3.76 Shots on target 4

0.21 Sendoffs 0.12 Goly Samu Koshta Khoan Mokhika 0:1 43' Nakazaniya Viktor Tsygankov 45+1' Pablo Maffeo 58' Vitor Reys 64' Khoan Mokhika 82' Toma Lemar 90+4' Brayan Khil 90+5'

Zhirona Malorka 33 Games 33 9 Wins 9 11 Draws 8 13 Losses 16 36 Scored 41 50 Conceded 51 38 Points 35 92.09 Attacks 89.27 45.66 Dangerous attacks 38.18 0 Big chances 0 10 Shots on goal 9.94 3.76 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.06 Uglovye 3.61 2.09 Offsaydy 1.33 10.52 Foly 11.58 50.24 % vladeniya myachom 45.33 2.03 Warnings 2.15 0.21 Sendoffs 0.12 Goly Samu Koshta Khoan Mokhika 0:1 43' Nakazaniya Viktor Tsygankov 45+1' Pablo Maffeo 58' Vitor Reys 64' Khoan Mokhika 82' Toma Lemar 90+4' Brayan Khil 90+5'