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La Liga
La Liga Spain
10.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Osasuna

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
1 : 0
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Osasuna January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.17 / 2 3.17
  • 1X2 market: Girona 39.9% / X 30.0% / Osasuna 30.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 39.9%
X 30.1%
2 30.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Under 2.5 56.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Girona - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.43 41.2%
X 3.22 31.1%
3.27 30.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.36 42.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.39 71.9% 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Girona
W L W L D
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
21.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:3 ElcheElche
30.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Osasuna
D W L W D
03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:0 AlavesAlaves
13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
08.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 LevanteLevante
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Osasuna

Girona
1 matches total
Osasuna
Girona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Osasuna: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Osasuna 1:2 (13.04 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 13.04 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
1:2
Osasuna