La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
0 : 0
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Rayo Vallecano 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.90 / 2 5.37
  • 1X2 market: Girona 57.1% / X 24.9% / Rayo Vallecano 18.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 57.1%
X 24.9%
2 18.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Rayo Vallecano

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.70 58.8%
Х 3.90 25.6%
П2 5.37 18.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.28 43.9%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.98 50.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
П2 4.00 25.0%
Match center
Girona
L L W
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:2 ValenciaValencia
15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
01.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:0 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Rayo Vallecano
D W
22.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Rayo Vallecano

Girona
0 matches total
Rayo Vallecano
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history