La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
1 : 3
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Rayo Vallecano 15 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite Fonbet: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.34 / X 3.25 / 2 3.30
  • 1X2 market: Girona 41.2% / X 29.6% / Rayo Vallecano 29.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 41.2%
X 29.6%
2 29.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 43.6%
Under 2.5 56.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 2.34 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.23 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.32 43.1%
Х 3.30 30.3%
П2 3.40 29.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.28 43.9% 2.26 44.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%
П2 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.38 29.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Girona
L L W L W
25.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 Valladolid
10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 VillarrealVillarreal
05.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Rayo Vallecano
D W D W W
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 SeltaSelta
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
09.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 GetafeGetafe
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Rayo Vallecano

Girona
1 matches total
Rayo Vallecano
Girona: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (25.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
0:0
Rayo Vallecano