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Start
30.11.2025 20:00 UTC
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30.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Girona - Real Madrid
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Girona - Real Madrid November 30, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.55 / X 5.20 / 2 1.41
- 1X2 market: Girona 14.5% / X 18.3% / Real Madrid 67.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 69.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
14.5%
X
18.2%
2
67.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5
69.3%
Under 2.5
30.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Girona - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.41
market consensus · line only
X
5.21
market consensus · line only
1
6.55
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.12
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
2.89
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.11
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.03
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.41
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.61
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.35
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.05
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.41
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.53
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 6.54 15.3% | |
| X | 5.43 18.4% |
| 1.43 69.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.60 15.2% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.20 13.9% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.25 16.0% | 6.40 15.6% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.33 18.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.40 18.5% |
| 1.41 70.9% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.47 68.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.50 40.0% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% |
| home_draw | 2.80 35.7% | 2.97 33.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.82 35.5% | 3.02 33.1% |
Match center
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Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
5
Points
Real Madrid
D
D
W
W
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Real Madrid
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Barselona
Barselona
19.10 19:00 UTC
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Real Madrid
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Getafe
Getafe
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Wins
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGirona - Real Madrid
Girona
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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