La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
0 : 1
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Real Sociedad 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.79 / X 3.21 / 2 2.80
  • 1X2 market: Girona 34.9% / X 30.3% / Real Sociedad 34.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 34.9%
X 30.3%
2 34.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 40.7%
Under 2.5 59.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Girona - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.79 35.8%
Х 3.21 31.2%
П2 2.80 35.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.47 68.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.39 41.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.93 51.8%
П2 1.93 51.8%
Match center
Girona
W D D L L
06.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
29.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SeltaSelta
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:2 ValenciaValencia
15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Real Sociedad
D W D L L
06.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:0 ValenciaValencia
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 Valladolid
17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Real Sociedad

Girona
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history