La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.05.2026 18:00 UTC 36-й тур
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
1 : 1
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Real Sociedad 14 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.73 / 2 3.68
  • 1X2 market: Girona 48.7% / X 25.5% / Real Sociedad 25.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 48.7%
X 25.5%
2 25.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 55.6%
Under 2.5 44.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: Girona

Main outcome Girona
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 43.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center
Stadium Мунисипаль де Монтиливи (Жирона, Испания), 12 519 зрителей (86% при вместимости 14 500)
Referee Мигель Сесма Эспиноса (Испания)
Start 14.05.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Real Sociedad

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Жирона - Реал Сосьедад, 14 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Испании по футболу (Ла Лига) 2025-2026, 36-й тур. Жирона - Реал Сосьедад, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 20
Statistics 22
Lineups 44
min Event Player Team
12' 12' Yellow Card | A. Barrenetxea Barrenetxea Real Sociedad
28' 28' Normal Goal | Jon Martin Jon Martín Real Sociedad
34' 34' Substitution 1 | A. Barrenetxea | assist/sub out: Pablo Marín Barrenetxea Real Sociedad
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Bryan Gil | assist/sub out: Cristhian Stuani B. Gil Girona
53' 53' Yellow Card | Jon Aramburu J. Aramburu Real Sociedad
57' 57' Substitution 2 | Iván Martín | assist/sub out: Thomas Lemar I. Martin Girona
57' 57' Substitution 3 | Axel Witsel | assist/sub out: Fran Beltrán A. Witsel Girona
57' 57' Substitution 2 | J. Gorrotxategi | assist/sub out: Carlos Soler Jon Gorrotxategi Real Sociedad
Metric Girona Real Sociedad SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.11 0.33 final
Заблокированные удары 10 3 final
Удары мимо 15 1 final
Удары в створ 4 2 final
Удары всего 29 6 final
Фолы совершено 13 19 final
Желтые карточки 2 7 final
Офсайды 2 0 final
Girona #3 J. Roca, #13 P. Gazzaniga, #18 A. Ounahi, #24 A. Moreno, #12 Vitor Reis, #15 V. Tsygankov, #20 A. Witsel, #16 A. Frances, #21 B. Gil, #23 I. Martin, #4 A. Martinez
Real Sociedad #1 Álex Remiro, #7 Barrenetxea, #10 M. Oyarzabal, #12 Y. Herrera, #17 Sergio Gómez, #4 Jon Gorrotxategi, #16 D. Caleta-Car, #24 L. Sucic, #14 T. Kubo, #31 Jon Martín, #2 J. Aramburu
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Frances Girona football.player.assists 0
A. Frances Girona football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Martinez Girona football.player.assists 1
A. Martinez Girona football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Moreno Girona football.player.assists 0
A. Moreno Girona football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Ounahi Girona football.player.assists 0
A. Ounahi Girona football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Witsel Girona football.player.assists 0
A. Witsel Girona football.player.minutes_played 57
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
2 3.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 3.85 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.55 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8%
П2 3.65 27.4% 3.81 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.28 43.9%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.25 1.10 90.9%
ТБ 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
ТБ 1.75 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 2.0 1.30 76.9%
ТБ 2.25 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 3.5 2.80 35.7%
ТБ 4.5 5.00 20.0%
ТМ 0.5 10.00 10.0%
ТМ 1.5 4.20 23.8%
ТМ 2.5 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 3.5 1.42 70.4%
ТМ 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Girona

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Real Sociedad

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Порту Марк-Андре Хуан Карлос Владислав Ванат Донни Альваро Одриосола Гонсалу Гедеш Дисквалифицированные Орри Оускарссон CHAMP
Match center
Girona
D L L L D
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
01.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
25.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 ValenciaValencia
21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:3 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
10.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Real Sociedad
D L D L D
09.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 SevillaSevilla
26.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
22.04 18:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 GetafeGetafe
11.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:3 AlavesAlaves
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Real Sociedad

Girona
3 matches total
Real Sociedad
Girona: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Sociedad: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Girona 2:1 (12.12 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 18.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 4

Match history

12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
2:1
Real Sociedad
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
2:3
Real Sociedad
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona
0:1
Real Sociedad
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Girona
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Real Sociedad
Girona Team comparison Real Sociedad
35 Игры 35
9 Победы 11
12 Ничьи 11
14 Поражения 13
37 Забито 54
52 Пропущено 55
39 Очки 44
91.94 Атаки 95.33
45.97 Опасные атаки 45.03
0 Голевые моменты 0
10.06 Удары по воротам 12
3.8 Удары в створ 4.69
0.2 Удаления 0.11 Голы Хон Мартин Серхио Гомес 0:1 28' Кристиан Стуани Арнау Мартинес 1:1 66' Наказания Андер Барренечеа 12' Хон Арамбуру 53' Микель Оярсабаль 59' Алехандро Франсес 62' Серхио Гомес 73' Хоэль Рока 76' Дуе Чалета-Цар 82' Горка Каррера 88' Беньят Туррьентес 90'

Жирона Реал Сосьедад 35 Игры 35 9 Победы 11 12 Ничьи 11 14 Поражения 13 37 Забито 54 52 Пропущено 55 39 Очки 44 91.94 Атаки 95.33 45.97 Опасные атаки 45.03 0 Голевые моменты 0 10.06 Удары по воротам 12 3.8 Удары в створ 4.69 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 4.11 Угловые 5.71 2 Оффсайды 2.37 10.4 Фолы 13.91 50.23 % владения мячом 51.49 2.06 Предупреждения 2.09 0.2 Удаления 0.11 Голы Хон Мартин Серхио Гомес 0:1 28' Кристиан Стуани Арнау Мартинес 1:1 66' Наказания Андер Барренечеа 12' Хон Арамбуру 53' Микель Оярсабаль 59' Алехандро Франсес 62' Серхио Гомес 73' Хоэль Рока 76' Дуе Чалета-Цар 82' Горка Каррера 88' Беньят Туррьентес 90'