La Liga
La Liga Spain
30.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Sevilla

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
0 : 2
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Sevilla 30 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.51 / X 3.16 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: Girona 38.0% / X 30.2% / Sevilla 31.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 38.0%
X 30.2%
2 31.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 43.1%
Under 2.5 56.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Girona - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · line only
1 2.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.54 39.4%
Х 3.19 31.4%
П2 3.13 32.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.50 40.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.56 39.1% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.50 40.0%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.38 29.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.98 33.6% 2.95 33.9% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.84 54.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Girona
L L L L W
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:5 VillarrealVillarreal
15.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
25.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 Valladolid
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Sevilla
L L L L W
25.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 GetafeGetafe
17.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
25.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:4 VillarrealVillarreal
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
13.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Sevilla

Girona
1 matches total
Sevilla
Girona: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Girona 2:0 (01.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 01.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
2:0
Sevilla