La Liga
La Liga Spain
04.10.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Valencia

Spain Futbol
Girona
Girona
2 : 1
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Valencia 4 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.26 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Girona 40.4% / X 29.2% / Valencia 30.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 40.4%
X 29.2%
2 30.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 47.4%
Under 2.5 52.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Girona - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.41 41.5%
Х 3.27 30.6%
П2 3.25 30.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.32 43.1% 2.28 43.9% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2%
Х 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.42 29.2% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
П2 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Girona
D D L D L
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 ЛевантеЛеванте
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SeltaSelta
30.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:2 SevillaSevilla
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Valencia
L D W L W
30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 OviedoOviedo
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:6 BarselonaBarselona
29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:0 GetafeGetafe
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Valencia

Girona
1 matches total
Valencia
Girona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Valencia: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Valencia 0:2 (21.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 21.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona
0:2
Valencia