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La Liga
La Liga Spain
10.05.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Villarreal

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
0 : 1
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Villarreal May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.03 / X 3.61 / 2 2.38
  • 1X2 market: Girona 32.1% / X 27.0% / Villarreal 40.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 32.1%
X 27.0%
2 40.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 59.4%
Under 2.5 40.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Girona - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 3.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.03 33.0%
X 3.61 27.7%
2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.64 61.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.63 61.4%
Under 2.5 2.38 42.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.21 45.3%
1.72 58.1%
Match center
Girona
W D L L L
05.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 MallorcaMallorca
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Leganes
21.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:3 Real BetisReal Betis
13.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 OsasunaOsasuna
05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Villarreal
W W L D W
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:2 OsasunaOsasuna
27.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:3 SeltaSelta
20.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Villarreal

Girona
0 matches total
Villarreal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history