La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Las Palmas - Athletic Club

Spain Futbol
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
2 : 3
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Palmas - Athletic Club 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.15 / X 3.47 / 2 2.00
  • 1X2 market: Las Palmas 23.4% / X 28.0% / Athletic Club 48.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 23.4%
X 28.0%
2 48.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Las Palmas - Athletic Club

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 4.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.15 24.1%
Х 3.47 28.8%
П2 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.89 52.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.97 33.7%
П2 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Las Palmas
L
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 0:2 AlavesAlaves
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLas Palmas - Athletic Club

Las Palmas
0 matches total
Athletic Club
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history