La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Las Palmas - Celta Vigo

Spain Futbol
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
0 : 1
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Palmas - Celta Vigo 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.88 / X 3.60 / 2 2.03
  • 1X2 market: Las Palmas 25.1% / X 27.0% / Celta Vigo 47.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 25.1%
X 27.0%
2 47.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 52.8%
Under 2.5 47.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Las Palmas - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.03 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 3.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.88 25.8%
Х 3.60 27.8%
П2 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.29 77.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.87 53.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.07 48.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.79 35.8%
П2 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Las Palmas
L D L L L
30.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:2 OsasunaOsasuna
15.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 2:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 0:2 AlavesAlaves
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
Celta Vigo
D L L W L
29.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 GironaGirona
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
22.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:1 Valladolid
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLas Palmas - Celta Vigo

Las Palmas
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history