La Liga Spain

03.05.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

03.05.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Las Palmas - Valencia

Spain Futbol

Las Palmas

2 : 3

Finished

Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Palmas - Valencia 3 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Las Palmas.

Line favourite market consensus: Las Palmas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.63 / X 3.30 / 2 2.91
1X2 market: Las Palmas 37.0% / X 29.5% / Valencia 33.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%

1 37.0%

X 29.5%

2 33.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%

Over 2.5 46.5%

Under 2.5 53.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.05.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Las Palmas - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.91 market consensus · line only

X 3.30 market consensus · line only

1 2.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.54 market consensus · line only

12 1.38 market consensus · line only

1X 1.46 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.63 38.0%
Х	3.30 30.3%
П2	2.91 34.4%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.54 64.9%
home_away	1.38 72.5%
home_draw	1.46 68.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	2.08 48.1%
ТМ 2.5	1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.84 54.4%
П2	2.04 49.0%

Match center

Las Palmas

L W W L W

23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Las Palmas 0:1 Athletic Club

19.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Las Palmas 1:0 Atletiko Madrid

12.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Las Palmas 3:1 Getafe

06.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Las Palmas 1:3 Real Sociedad

26.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Las Palmas 1:0 Girona

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Valencia

D D W W D

22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Espanyol

19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Rayo Vallecano

11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:0 Sevilla

05.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 2:1 Real Madrid

27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Getafe

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLas Palmas - Valencia

Las Palmas

1 matches total

Valencia

Las Palmas: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Valencia: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Las Palmas 3:2 (21.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 21.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.10 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Las Palmas

3:2

Valencia