La Liga
La Liga Spain
04.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Leganes - Valencia

Spain Futbol
Leganes
Leganes
0 : 0
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leganes - Valencia 4 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 2.77 / 2 3.00
  • 1X2 market: Leganes 32.4% / X 35.1% / Valencia 32.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 32.4%
X 35.1%
2 32.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Leganes - Valencia

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · line only
X 2.77 market consensus · line only
1 3.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.48 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.00 33.3%
Х 2.77 36.1%
П2 3.00 33.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.48 67.6%
home_draw 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.73 57.8%
ТМ 1.5 2.19 45.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.95 51.3%
П2 1.92 52.1%
Match center
Leganes
D D L L
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Leganes 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
22.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 1:1 GetafeGetafe
19.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 0:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 0:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points
Valencia
L D W L
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 GironaGirona
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeganes - Valencia

Leganes
0 matches total
Valencia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history