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La Liga
La Liga Spain
13.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
13.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Levante - Getafe

Spain Football
Stadium Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Capacity 25 534
Levante
Levante
1 : 0
Finished
Getafe
Getafe
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Getafe — 36%

1 · Levante34.9%
X · draw28.7%
2 · Getafe36.4%

Model estimate: win Levante 34.9%, draw 28.7%, win Getafe 36.4%. Model favourite — Getafe.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levante - Getafe April 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Levante.

Line favourite market consensus: Levante. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 2.92 / 2 3.08
  • 1X2 market: Levante 36.8% / X 32.5% / Getafe 30.8%
  • Glicko: Levante 34.9% / X 28.7% / Getafe 36.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 36.7%
X 32.5%
2 30.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 35.9%
Under 2.5 64.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 30.3%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:2

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 13.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Stadium Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Capacity 25,534

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Getafe 36%
💹 Market Levante 3675%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Levante - Getafe

Levante: Win 2.45 Levante: Draw 2.80 Getafe Win: 2.88 Obschiy total golov bolshe 1.5: 1.53 Obschiy total golov menshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov Levante bolshe 0.5: 1.40 Individualnyy total golov Levante menshe 0.5: 2.75 Individualnyy total golov Getafe bolshe 0.5…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 21
Statistics 26
Lineups 43
min Event Player Team
10' 10' Red card cancelled | C. Espi Levante
11' 11' Yellow Card | C. Espi Levante
46' 46' Yellow Card | L. Vazquez E. Əlicanov Getafe
55' 55' Substitution 1 | L. Vazquez | assist/sub out: M. Martin E. Əlicanov Getafe
58' 58' Yellow Card | Djene Getafe
63' 63' Substitution 5 | U. Raghouber | assist/sub out: K. Arriaga Levante
63' 63' Substitution 6 | P. Martinez | assist/sub out: C. Alvarez Levante
70' 70' Substitution 3 | A. Liso | assist/sub out: V. Birmancevic Getafe
Metric Levante Getafe SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.9 0.29 final
Zablokirovannye udary 8 2 final
Shots off target 10 2 final
Shots on target 4 1 final
Udary vsego 22 5 final
Fouls soversheno 12 24 final
Red cards 0 1 final
Zheltye kartochki 2 6 final
Levante #2 M. Moreno, #4 Dela, #8 J. A. Olasagasti, #9 I. Romero, #10 P. Martinez, #13 Mathew Ryan, #14 U. Raghouber, #19 Carlos Espí, #22 J. Toljan, #23 M. Sanchez, #26 K. Tunde
Getafe #2 D. Dakonam, #3 A. Abqar, #5 L. Milla, #10 M. Satriano, #13 D. Soria, #17 Kiko Femenia, #19 L. Vazquez, #21 J. Iglesias, #22 D. Duarte, #23 A. Liso, #24 Z. Romero
Player Team Metric SStats
P. Cortes Seyvy 0
A. Matturro Levante football.player.assists 0
A. Matturro Levante Seyvy 0
A. Matturro Levante football.player.minutes_played 11
A. Matturro Levante Klyuchevye pasy 1
A. Matturro Levante Reyting (staryy) 6.6
A. Matturro Levante Otbory vsego 1
Carlos Álvarez Levante football.player.assists 0
Carlos Álvarez Levante Dribling popytki 2
Carlos Álvarez Levante Dribling uspeshno 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Levante 36.7% 34.9% market favourite
Draw 32.0% 28.7% draw risk
Getafe 31.3% 36.4% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.11 : 1.14
Total 2.5 Over 65.0% - Under 35.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.9% / 28.7% / 36.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,432 / 1,529 Levante / Getafe
RD 77 / 74 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.08 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 36.4%
X 2.92 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.58 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 34.9%
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 65.1%
12 1.38 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 71.3%
1X 1.37 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.62 market consensus · weak value +70.2% · model 65.0%
Under 2.5 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 35.0%
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.56 39.1% 2.61 38.3% 2.66 37.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.57 38.9% 2.55 39.2%
X 2.94 34.0% 3.00 33.3% 3.02 33.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7%
2.96 33.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.24 30.9% 2.88 34.7% 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.12 89.3% — 1.10 90.9%
Over 0.75 — — 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.0 — — 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.25 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 1.5 1.55 64.5% — 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.75 — — 1.68 59.5%
Over 2.0 — 2.02 49.5% —
Over 2.5 2.65 37.7% — —
Over 3.5 5.25 19.1% — —
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 0.5 6.00 16.7% — —
Under 1.5 2.40 41.7% — —
Under 2.0 — 1.88 53.2% —
Under 2.5 1.48 67.6% — —
Under 3.5 1.15 87.0% — —
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2% — —
Match center
Levante
Founded 1909
Getafe
Founded 1983
Match center
Levante
UE Unai Elgezabal Knee Injury
B Brugui Knee Injury
Getafe
MA M. Arambarri Yellow Cards
J Juanmi Injury
Levante Founded: 1909
Getafe Founded: 1983
Match center
Levante
L W D D W
04.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
21.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 4:2 OviedoOviedo
16.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
07.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 GironaGirona
27.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:0 AlavesAlaves
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Getafe
W W L W W
05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
21.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
14.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
08.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 Real BetisReal Betis
02.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevante - Getafe

Levante
1 matches total
Getafe
Levante: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 27.09 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.09 12:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante
1:1
Getafe
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.