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La Liga
La Liga Spain
35 round 08.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
08.05.2026 19:00 UTC 35 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Levante - Osasuna

Spain Football
Stadium Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Referee J. Munuera
Capacity 25 534
Levante
Levante
3 : 2
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Osasuna — 38%

1 · Levante34.2%
X · draw27.5%
2 · Osasuna38.3%

Model estimate: win Levante 34.2%, draw 27.5%, win Osasuna 38.3%. Model favourite — Osasuna.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levante - Osasuna May 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Levante.

Line favourite market consensus: Levante. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / X 3.26 / 2 2.91
  • 1X2 market: Levante 38.3% / X 29.1% / Osasuna 32.6%
  • Glicko: Levante 34.2% / X 27.5% / Osasuna 38.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 38.3%
X 29.1%
2 32.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 28.8%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:2

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Syudad de Valensiya (Valensiya, Spain), 19 974 zritelya (78% pri vmestimosti 25 534)
Referee Khose Munuera Montero
Start 08.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Capacity 25,534
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Osasuna 38%
💹 Market Levante 3827%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Levante - Osasuna

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Levante - Osasuna, 8 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 35 round. Levante - Osasuna, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

7/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:2
Events 18
Statistics 24
Lineups 45
min Event Player Team
3' 3' Own Goal | J. Toljan J. Toljan Osasuna
11' 11' Normal Goal | A. Budimir A. Budimir Osasuna
35' 35' Normal Goal | V. Garcia V. Garcia Levante
37' 37' Normal Goal Levante
41' 41' Yellow Card | V. Garcia V. Garcia Levante
45' 45' Red Card | S. Herrera S. Herrera Osasuna
45+2' 45+2' Substitution 1 | A. Oroz | assist/sub out: A. Fernandez A. Oroz Osasuna
46' 46' Substitution 3 | K. Tunde | assist/sub out: R. Brugue K. Tunde Levante
Metric Levante Osasuna SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 3.22 0.63 final
Zablokirovannye udary 8 0 final
Shots off target 15 2 final
Shots on target 12 3 final
Udary vsego 35 5 final
Fouls soversheno 11 13 final
Red cards 0 1 final
Zheltye kartochki 2 0 final
Levante #8 J. A. Olasagasti, #13 Mathew Ryan, #17 V. Garcia, #19 Carlos Espí, #23 M. Sanchez, #2 M. Moreno, #10 P. Martinez, #4 Dela, #20 O. Rey, #22 J. Toljan, #26 K. Tunde
Osasuna #1 S. Herrera, #8 I. Munoz, #17 A. Budimir, #18 R. Moro, #23 A. Bretones, #7 J. Moncayola, #10 A. Oroz, #22 F. Boyomo, #14 R. Garcia, #24 A. Catena, #19 V. Rosier
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Matturro Levante football.player.assists 1
A. Matturro Levante football.player.minutes_played 14
Carlos Espí Levante football.player.assists 0
Carlos Espí Levante football.player.minutes_played 90
Dela Levante football.player.assists 0
Dela Levante football.player.minutes_played 76
J. A. Olasagasti Levante football.player.assists 0
J. A. Olasagasti Levante football.player.minutes_played 90
J. Morales Levante football.player.assists 0
J. Morales Levante football.player.minutes_played 24
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Levante 36.9% 34.2% market favourite
Draw 30.0% 27.5% draw risk
Osasuna 33.1% 38.3% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.16 : 1.25
Total 2.5 Over 59.5% - Under 40.5%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.2% / 27.5% / 38.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,452 / 1,509 Levante / Osasuna
RD 74 / 71 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.99 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 38.3%
X 1.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.10 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 34.2%
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 65.8%
12 1.33 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 72.5%
1X 1.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 61.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · value +14.2% · model 59.5%
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 40.5%
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.45 40.8%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.78 36.0% 3.04 32.9% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.08 48.1%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
Over 1.75 — 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.0 — 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.25 — 1.73 57.8%
Over 2.5 1.91 52.4% —
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8% —
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0% —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% —
Under 1.5 3.40 29.4% —
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2% —
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1% —
Match center
Levante
Founded 1909
Osasuna
Founded 1920
Match center
Levante
D Dela Muscle Injury
UE U. Elgezabal Knee Injury
Osasuna
VM V. Munoz Muscle Injury
Unay Elkhesabal Alekhandro Primo Karlos Alvares Ivan Romero Travmirovannye Viktor Munos Diskvalifitsirovannye Kervin Arriaga CHAMP
Levante Founded: 1909
Osasuna Founded: 1920
Match center
Levante
L D W W L
02.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:5 VillarrealVillarreal
27.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:0 SevillaSevilla
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:0 GetafeGetafe
04.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Osasuna
L W L D D
02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
26.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 SevillaSevilla
21.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
05.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevante - Osasuna

Levante
1 matches total
Osasuna
Levante: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Osasuna: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Osasuna 0:2 (08.12 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 08.12 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

08.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Levante
0:2
Osasuna
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Levante
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Osasuna
Levante Team comparison Osasuna
34 Games 34
8 Wins 11
9 Draws 9
17 Losses 14
38 Scored 40
55 Conceded 42
33 Points 42
82.36 Attacks 84.06
38.76 Dangerous attacks 44.41
0 Big chances 0
10.79 Shots on goal 11.32
3.47 Shots on target 3.71
iya 2.38 0.12 Sendoffs 0.18 Goly Dzheremi Tolyan 0:1 3' Ante Budimir Abel Bretones 0:2 11' Viktor Garsiya Pablo Martines 1:2 35' Viktor Garsiya Oriol Erenas 2 37' Karl Eduard Etta Eyong Alan Matturro 3:2 90' Nakazaniya Viktor Garsiya 41' Serkhio Errera 45' Matias Moreno 74'

Levante Osasuna 34 Games 34 8 Wins 11 9 Draws 9 17 Losses 14 38 Scored 40 55 Conceded 42 33 Points 42 82.36 Attacks 84.06 38.76 Dangerous attacks 44.41 0 Big chances 0 10.79 Shots on goal 11.32 3.47 Udary v stvor 3.71 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.88 Uglovye 3.56 1.68 Offsaydy 1.44 12.62 Foly 13.38 42.68 % vladeniya myachom 46.26 2.24 Warnings 2.38 0.12 Sendoffs 0.18 Goly Dzheremi Tolyan 0:1 3' Ante Budimir Abel Bretones 0:2 11' Viktor Garsiya Pablo Martines 1:2 35' Viktor Garsiya Oriol Erenas 2 37' Karl Eduard Etta Eyong Alan Matturro 3:2 90' Nakazaniya Viktor Garsiya 41' Serkhio Errera 45' Matias Moreno 74'