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La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Levante - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football
Levante
Levante
0 : 3
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levante - Rayo Vallecano October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Levante.

Line favourite market consensus: Levante. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.29 / 2 2.71
  • 1X2 market: Levante 35.8% / X 29.0% / Rayo Vallecano 35.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 35.8%
X 29.0%
2 35.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 48.2%
Under 2.5 51.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Levante - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 2.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.68 37.3%
X 3.33 30.0%
2.83 35.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.64 37.9% 2.61 38.3% 2.74 36.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.65 37.7%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.42 29.2% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
2.68 37.3% 2.82 35.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.22 45.1%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Levante
W D L W D
04.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:0 OviedoOviedo
27.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 GetafeGetafe
23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 4:0 GironaGirona
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Rayo Vallecano
W L L D L
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 SevillaSevilla
24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 SeltaSelta
14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevante - Rayo Vallecano

Levante
0 matches total
Rayo Vallecano
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history