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La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Levante - Real Sociedad

Spain Football
Levante
Levante
1 : 1
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levante - Real Sociedad December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.98 / X 3.23 / 2 2.46
  • 1X2 market: Levante 31.9% / X 29.4% / Real Sociedad 38.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 31.9%
X 29.4%
2 38.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Levante - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.24 market consensus · line only
1 2.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.04 32.9%
X 3.32 30.1%
2.52 39.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.92 34.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.09 32.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.45 40.8% 2.44 41.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Levante
L L L L L
08.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
29.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
21.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:1 ValenciaValencia
08.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
02.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:2 SeltaSelta
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Real Sociedad
L L L W D
12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:2 GironaGirona
06.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 AlavesAlaves
30.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:3 VillarrealVillarreal
22.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:1 OsasunaOsasuna
07.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 ElcheElche
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevante - Real Sociedad

Levante
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history