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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.04.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction
23.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Levante - Sevilla

Spain Football
Stadium Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Capacity 25 534
Levante
Levante
2 : 0
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Levante — 38%

1 · Levante38.0%
X · draw27.3%
2 · Sevilla34.8%

Model estimate: win Levante 38.0%, draw 27.3%, win Sevilla 34.8%. Model favourite — Levante.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levante - Sevilla April 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Levante.

Strongest: Levante - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.19 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: Levante 38.6% / X 29.7% / Sevilla 31.7%
  • Glicko: Levante 38.0% / X 27.3% / Sevilla 34.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 38.6%
X 29.7%
2 31.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 44.3%
Under 2.5 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 5/5
Confidence 37.8%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 23.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Stadium Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Capacity 25,534

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Levante 38%
💹 Market Levante 3856%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Levante - Sevilla

Levante: Win 2.40 Levante: Draw 3.25 Sevilla Win: 3.00 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.73 Individualnyy total golov Levante bolshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov Levante menshe 1.5: 1.50 Individualnyy total golov Sevilla bolshe 1…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 17
Statistics 24
Lineups 45
min Event Player Team
10' 10' Yellow Card | Akor Adams Sevilla
23' 23' Yellow Card | Oriol Rey Levante
38' 38' Normal Goal | Iván Romero | assist/sub out: Jon Ander Olasagasti Levante
42' 42' Substitution 1 | Kareem Tunde | assist/sub out: Víctor García Levante
59' 59' Yellow Card | Ugo Raghouber Levante
60' 60' Yellow Card | Lucien Agoumé C. Larin Sevilla
63' 63' Substitution 2 | Jon Ander Olasagasti | assist/sub out: Kervin Arriaga Levante
63' 63' Substitution 3 | Ugo Raghouber | assist/sub out: Carlos Álvarez Levante
Metric Levante Sevilla SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.53 0.28 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 1 final
Shots off target 3 6 final
Shots on target 3 0 final
Udary vsego 8 7 final
Fouls soversheno 17 16 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 4 final
Offsides 1 2 final
Levante #1 O. Vlachodimos, #4 Kike Salas, #6 N. Gudelj, #7 Isaac, #9 A. Adams, #11 R. Vargas, #16 Juanlu Sánchez, #18 L. Agoumé, #28 Manu Bueno, #32 Andrés Castrín, #36 Oso
Sevilla #2 M. Moreno, #4 Dela, #8 J. A. Olasagasti, #9 I. Romero, #10 P. Martinez, #13 Mathew Ryan, #14 U. Raghouber, #19 Carlos Espí, #22 J. Toljan, #23 M. Sanchez, #26 K. Tunde
Player Team Metric SStats
P. Cortes Seyvy 0
A. Adams Levante football.player.assists 0
A. Adams Levante Dribling popytki 2
A. Adams Levante Dribling uspeshno 1
A. Adams Levante Edinoborstva vsego 1
A. Adams Levante Edinoborstva vyigrano 8
A. Adams Levante Seyvy 0
A. Adams Levante football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Adams Levante Klyuchevye pasy 10
A. Adams Levante Reyting (staryy) 6.2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Levante 38.9% 38.0% market and model agree
Draw 30.0% 27.3% draw risk
Sevilla 31.1% 34.8%
xG - 1.26 : 1.20
Total 2.5 Over 55.7% - Under 44.3%
Model check - - Difference 0.04
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 38.0% / 27.3% / 34.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,445 / 1,454 Levante / Sevilla
RD 76 / 73 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.99 market consensus · no value · model 34.8%
X 3.19 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.46 market consensus · no value · model 38.0%
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 62.1%
12 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 72.7%
1X 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 65.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · value +19.8% · model 55.7%
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · no value · model 44.3%
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.54 39.4% 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3%
2.82 35.5% 3.18 31.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 — 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5% 1.34 74.6%
Over 1.75 — 1.44 69.4%
Over 2.0 — 1.59 62.9%
Over 2.25 — 1.86 53.8%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 3.5 3.80 26.3% —
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3% —
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5% —
Under 1.5 3.00 33.3% —
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6% —
Match center
Levante
Founded 1909
Sevilla
Founded 1890
Match center
Levante
W L W D D
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:0 GetafeGetafe
04.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
21.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 4:2 OviedoOviedo
16.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
07.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 GironaGirona
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Sevilla
W L L L D
11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 OviedoOviedo
21.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 ValenciaValencia
15.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:5 BarselonaBarselona
08.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevante - Sevilla

Levante
1 matches total
Sevilla
Levante: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Levante 3:0 (04.01 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 04.01 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

04.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Levante
3:0
Sevilla
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.