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La Liga
La Liga Spain
13.12.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
13.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Elche

Spain Football
Mallorca
Mallorca
3 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Elche December 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mallorca.

Line favourite market consensus: Mallorca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.02 / 2 2.91
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 35.9% / X 31.5% / Elche 32.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 35.9%
X 31.5%
2 32.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 40.8%
Under 2.5 59.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.02 market consensus · line only
1 2.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.76 36.2%
X 3.08 32.5%
2.94 34.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.62 38.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.71 36.9% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.14 31.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
2.92 34.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.87 34.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Mallorca
D D L W L
05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 OviedoOviedo
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
22.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 GetafeGetafe
02.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Elche
W L D D L
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 3:0 GironaGirona
28.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:1 GetafeGetafe
23.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
07.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
02.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Elche

Mallorca
0 matches total
Elche
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history