La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.03.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Espanyol

Spain Futbol
Mallorca
Mallorca
2 : 1
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Espanyol 15 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mallorca.

Line favourite market consensus: Mallorca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.47 / X 3.10 / 2 3.11
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 38.6% / X 30.8% / Espanyol 30.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 38.6%
X 30.8%
2 30.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 41.3%
Under 2.5 58.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.12 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.50 40.0%
Х 3.16 31.7%
П2 3.22 31.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.42 41.3% 2.49 40.2% 2.53 39.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%
Х 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Mallorca
D L L L L
07.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
28.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
22.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:2 SeltaSelta
15.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
07.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Espanyol
D D L D L
09.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 OviedoOviedo
01.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 ЭльчеЭльче
21.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
14.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 SeltaSelta
09.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Espanyol

Mallorca
2 matches total
Espanyol
Mallorca: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Espanyol: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Espanyol 2:3 (15.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 15.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 3

Match history

15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
2:3
Espanyol
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
1:2
Espanyol