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La Liga
La Liga Spain
04.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
04.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Girona

Spain Football
Mallorca
Mallorca
1 : 2
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Girona January 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mallorca.

Line favourite market consensus: Mallorca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.12 / 2 3.49
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 42.3% / X 30.4% / Girona 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 42.3%
X 30.5%
2 27.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.50 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.28 43.9%
X 3.18 31.5%
3.62 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.16 46.3% 2.26 44.3% 2.34 42.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.27 30.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Mallorca
D W D D L
19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 ValenciaValencia
13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 3:1 ElcheElche
05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 OviedoOviedo
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
22.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Girona
L W L D D
21.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:3 ElcheElche
30.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Girona

Mallorca
1 matches total
Girona
Mallorca: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Girona: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Girona 0:1 (05.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 05.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
0:1
Girona